There has been a lot of talk about the "Big 3" states in this election: Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania. The conventional wisdom has been that the candidate who wins two of the three will be president. Well, here are new polls in all three states:
Survey USA State Polls
Ohio
Kerry 50%
Bush 48%Florida
Kerry 50%
Bush 47%Pennsylvania
Kerry 53%
Bush 45%
It is not only important that Kerry is up in all three states. It is also important to look at the numbers. Kerry is at 50 or above in all the polls. Bush is at 48 or below in all the polls. Traditionally an incumbent's poll numbers don't change on election day. The undecideds choose the challenger 2 to 1. So, it looks like Kerry might carry all three states.