HGS Daily Tracking Poll Average (Average of Zogby, Rasmussen, and ABC/WP):
Bush: 48.3%(+0.8 from yesterday)
Kerry: 47.9%(+0.4% from yesterday)
I expect tomorrow's Zogby poll will be moving towards Kerry. Zogby has had a Bush lead for several days because of a huge Bush sample on Saturday that gave him a 7 point bump that day. Tomorrow will be the first day without figuring in the result's of Saturday's bump.
The race is still extremely close today, but I think it is clear that the numbers are moving towards Kerry. I also think we will be seeing further movement as people start to react to missing explosives in Iraq, the 20,000 troop increase in Iraq, and the additional 70 billion dollars for the war. So, stay tuned.