HGS Daily Tracking Poll Average (Average of Zogby, Rasmussen, and ABC/WP):
Bush: 47.5%(-0.9 from yesterday)
Kerry: 47.5%(+1.5% from yesterday)
There is major shifts happening in the electorate. I believe that we are seeing some of the undecideds break towards Kerry, and we are also seeing the Democratic base widening in their support for Kerry. I think that we will also see this reflected in state polls throughout the week.
I've removed TIPP tracking polls from the average. They have proven to be far too untrustworthy for me to continue considering its results.
Also, be on the lookout for Zogby's state polls int he coming days, they have been skewing way to the right, in major opposition to all other state polling. I usually trust Zogby, but some of his state polling lately has seemed suspect.
Also, Gallup is releasing another poll today. So, heads up.