You may be wondering what information I would have that would lead me to my current totals, especially since most other electoral predictors are moving towards Bush. Well, I have some new information that leads me to believe that both Pennsylvania and Florida are quickly trending back towards Kerry after Bush's convention bounce. That is a total of 48 electoral votes, and I think if Kerry wins both those states then he wins the election. If you would have asked me yesterday afternoon I would have still given Kerry Pennsylvania but not Florida. Florida, again, may make all the difference.
Intangibles:
Last week, the only state I called an intangible was Colorado. Well, now I have a few more. I think all the following states could go either way: Maine, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, Missouri, Nevada, Colorado, and Florida. That is 118 electoral votes that could go one way or another at this point. So, don't be surprised if this map looks a little different next week. But for now, this is my map.