It looks like Newsweek has a poll that pretty much echoes the Time poll. Both have Bush up by eleven points. There are several reasons why I have problems with these polls. However, I won't go into all of them right now. One big reason is as Adam Nagourney from the New York Times writes:
"And while the verdict is out on Mr. Bush's convention - beware polls taken over the Labor Day weekend, which can be quite unreliable - it seems safe to say that at least going into last week, none of these once reliable big moments have proved to be very big at all."
"A note on polls: as of the day after the convention I'm told by what I believe to be reliable sources that the internal polls of both campaigns had President Bush up roughly four points on John Kerry."
"Whatever it is, it's real (which is why all the polls show it) but probably exaggerated by the newsweeklies. As a poster in a previous thread noted, Scott Rasmussen agrees with Zogby even taking account the Times poll (comments made before Newsweek[editor's note, by DemFromCT]He adds Newsweek to his suspect list today) that the lead is closer to 3 than 11, but that there is now (in this snapshot moment of time) a lead."
So, did Bush get a bounce? Certainly he did. Does he have a double-digit lead? No, he does not. Democrats, including myself, need to just take a deep breath and relax. Let's wait and see where the polls are next week, and then we can better assess where we stand.
This race is not over, not by a long shot.