August 09, 2004

A Few Good Polls

An American Research Group Poll posted on August 5 has some promising news for the Kerry/Edwards ticket.

New Hampshire Poll of 600 likely voters (Margin of Error +/- 4 pts.)

Bush 42%
Kerry 49%
Nader 2%
Undecided 7%

This is important because Bush won New Hampshire in 2000, and many people thought that their "live free or die" ways would send the state Bush's way again. Remember that the NRA is a powerful force in New Hampshire. So, obviously things will definitely shift there, but this is promising for Kerry.

Florida

Bush 43%
Kerry 50%
Nader 2%
Undecided 5%

This is great news for the obvious reasons, but it is also great because Bush had been leading in most state polls up to this point. I think this race is going to be as important, if not more important than Ohio this time around. Everybody keeps talking about Ohio being the next Florida. I still think Florida will be the next Florida. Ohio will be another mess altogether.

Posted by Paul Hina at August 9, 2004 11:09 PM