2008 Election Prediction

Popular Vote Prediction:
Obama: 51.8%
McCain: 46.1%
Other: 2.1%

However, if Obama's turnout mechanism really comes out in full force and his percentages exceed 53% then I think the map will look more like this:

Daily Tracking Average: 1 Day To Go

Daily Tracking Average*

Obama: 51.5% (+0.5%)
McCain: 44.5% (NC)

* Average of Gallup(Likely Voters-Expanded), Research 2000, Diageo/Hotline, and Rasmussen tracking polls released on 11/03/2008.

Daily Tracking Average: 2 Days To Go

Daily Tracking Average*

Obama: 51.0% (-0.3%)
McCain: 44.5% (+0.5%)

* Average of Gallup(Likely Voters-Expanded), Research 2000, Diageo/Hotline, and Rasmussen tracking polls released on 11/02/2008.

Daily Tracking Average: 3 Days To Go

Daily Tracking Average*

Obama: 51.3% (+0.8%)
McCain: 44.0% (NC)

* Average of Gallup(Likely Voters-Expanded), Research 2000, Diageo/Hotline, and Rasmussen tracking polls released on 11/01/2008.