My Take: One Week To Go

National Vote Prediction:
Obama: 51.8%
McCain: 46.6%

I obviously do not see the electoral math being very close right now. However, I do not think this will translate into a huge national victory. I see Obama winning right now with close to 52% of the vote. I see McCain getting slightly less than 47%. Then again, the polls have been closing toward McCain this week, and I think this is an indication of the way undecideds may be breaking. If national poll averages give Obama a less than 4% lead on election day then Obama voters should be nervous. We should not be overconfident.