Iowa's Democratic Caucus: 3 Days To Go

Obama
For Obama to win, turnout is key. I have a hunch that the polls since Christmas have unfairly shown him sinking, and this could be because his supporters--young and college educated folks--are much more likely to vacation on the holidays than other campaign supporters.
So, listen close during the evening of the caucuses for talk of big crowds. If there is a huge turnout night then Obama ends up on top.
Edwards
If you believe the momentum story that is building for Edwards then he looks like he is rising. I don't know if this equals a win for him, but I do think a win wouldn't surprise anyone at this point. However, I think it's more likely to see him finish second, leaving whoever finishes third looking pretty haggard coming out of Iowa.
Watch the entrance polls that come out of the caucuses. Edwards could be as much as five points down and still win because of second-choice picks.
I still don't think Edwards can win the nomination. And if he did, the corporate media would quickly eviscerate his anti-corporate message.
Clinton
If Clinton wins it will be because of money, a huge advantage in paid staff, and proof that the Democratic machine in Iowa has enormous sway inside the caucus precincts. I just don't think she is inciting passion in anyone right now.
Has she even had a positive news cycle in the past six weeks?
I would not be surprised at all to see her finish third, and no matter how low her and Bill try to set expectations, the media will portray a third place finish as a sinking ship.

Note: The Des Moines Register poll comes out tonight, and this poll is hugely important in setting up the expectations game for the press. So, I may have an update tonight that completely contradicts all of the above.