Republican Primary Rankings

Romney: 42% +
Romney is the strongest mostly because of Rudy's fall. He is still up in the early states, and ahead for the first time in South Carolina. This is his nomination if he doesn't screw it up.
Giuliani: 20% -
Speaking of screwing it up, Giuliani has done just that. First, he used taxpayer dollars to pay for trips to the Hamptons with his mistress. Second, his private business has him wrapped up with some of the worst names in the Islamic world. Rudy has had a horrible month, and if I knew how these new revelations were going to shake out, he might be even lower. If I had to guess, I would say that he is done, but I want to wait another week to make it official. However, there is blood in the water. Will the media feast on it, or starve it? The Hamptons story involves both sex and money. So, the media should be all over this story for the rest of the week.
McCain: 16% +
McCain has done nothing to gain but to benefit from Rudy's follies. Yet, he wins points by default. He will not even come close in Iowa, but NH could be his saving grace.
Huckabee: 12% +
Huckabee is on fire. He is up for the first time in Iowa. He is moving up in SC, and he killed in last night's CNN/YouTube debate. Problem for Huckabeee is that the Republican establishment hates him. He is a populist with very reasonable positions on taxes, immigration, and education. And they will crush him for it in about...well...check your watch. The establishment will be going after Huckabee very soon—and they will be hitting hard.
Thompson: 10% +
Thompson is in a similar boat as McCain: he wins because Giuliani loses. He is still an awful candidate, and I don’t think he has a chance outside the deep south.
Everyone else...No chance.